Skip to main content
Presilium Private Wealth
Investing & Markets

Financial Planning Fridays #143: What Are We So Afraid Of?

Fear of a market crash often looms larger in the imagination than in reality. This video compares the average size of market gains and losses since 1950, showing that historical bull markets have significantly outsized historical downturns, and makes the case for staying invested rather than avoiding stocks out of fear.

Fear of a market crash often looms larger in the imagination than in reality. This video compares the average size of market gains and losses since 1950, showing that historical bull markets have significantly outsized historical downturns, and makes the case for staying invested rather than avoiding stocks out of fear.

Key takeaways

  • Since 1950, average market gains have historically been considerably larger than average market declines.
  • Letting fear of a crash lead to avoiding stocks altogether can mean missing out on long-term growth.
  • Historical bull markets have averaged gains of about 192%, compared with average declines of about 35% during downturns.
  • The stated goal is to help clients stay invested through downturns so they remain positioned for the next recovery, though past performance does not guarantee future results.

Hi friends, Mark Twain said, 'I've had a lot of worries in my life, most of which never happened.' I know I am the same way. My biggest fears are always worse in my imagination than in actual life, and I have overcome some pretty big obstacles. It is the same in investing. Our fear of a market crash is usually much worse than the actual impact it has on our life. However, this fear is so great for many people that they unfortunately avoid all investments in stock.

This fantastic chart shows the impact that good and bad markets have had since 1950. The enormous mountains that you see, those are the good markets; they have had an average gain of 192%. The relatively tiny valleys are those big, scary market crashes that we are all so worried about; they have only averaged a 35% temporary loss.

A big part of our mission at Presilium is to help you feel comfortable enough during the downturns that you stay invested and are rewarded with the next big market gain. I am much more frightened of the idea of our clients missing out on the next big move up than I am of enduring a temporary market decline that will have little to no impact on our clients' long-term financial success. Thank you, and I look forward to talking with you next Friday morning.

Written by

Jerry Davidse

Chief Executive Officer · CFP®

Turn insight into a plan

The first conversation is 30 minutes, no preparation needed.