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Presilium Private Wealth
Investing & Markets

Stress Testing Your Portfolio Through the Worst Market Declines

Cullen Martin introduces the Presilium Stress Test Report, which models a client's portfolio against the six largest market downturns of the past 50 years. He explains that the goal is not to predict returns, but to put historical declines and recovery times into perspective so clients can gauge whether their plan fits their risk tolerance.

Cullen Martin

Cullen Martin introduces the Presilium Stress Test Report, which models a client's portfolio against the six largest market downturns of the past 50 years. He explains that the goal is not to predict returns, but to put historical declines and recovery times into perspective so clients can gauge whether their plan fits their risk tolerance.

Key takeaways

  • The Presilium Stress Test Report models a client's portfolio against the six largest market downturns of the past 50 years.
  • The report shows the approximate percentage and dollar decline for each historical period along with how long recovery would have taken.
  • The purpose of stress testing is not to forecast future returns or guarantee investment outcomes, but to add historical perspective.
  • Reviewing the report while markets are relatively calm is intended to build confidence and reduce the chance of emotional decisions later.

Hello, and thank you for taking a few minutes to learn more about your Presilium stress test report. One of our core beliefs at Presilium is that successful long-term investing is not about avoiding market volatility, it's about being prepared for it. Throughout history, markets have experienced wars, recessions, inflation, political uncertainty, banking crises, and countless negative headlines. Yet despite these challenges, disciplined investors who stayed focused on the long term have been repeatedly rewarded.

The purpose of this personalized report is to help put market declines into perspective. Using your portfolio as a guide, we have modeled how it may have performed during the six largest market downturns of the past 50 years. For each period, you will see the approximate decline in both percentage and dollar terms, how long it would have taken to recover, and what your portfolio could be worth today had you remained invested throughout the entire experience.

Many investors struggle during difficult markets because they have never taken the time to visualize what a decline might actually look like. As a result, fear and uncertainty can sometimes lead to emotional decisions at exactly the wrong time. Our goal is different. By reviewing this report together while markets are relatively strong, we hope to help you build confidence in your plan, better understand the temporary declines that are a normal part of investing, and feel more prepared for whatever markets may do in the future.

Because confidence does not come from knowing what the market will do next. Confidence comes from knowing you have a plan designed to withstand uncertainty. We look forward to reviewing your personalized report with you soon. Thank you for your trust, and we appreciate the opportunity to help guide you on your financial journey.

Written by

Cullen Martin

Financial Planner · CFP®

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